Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 0.000128 0.000141 0.000155 0.000172 0.000190 0.000210 0.000234
2025-06-29 0.000100 0.000118 0.000140 0.000166 0.000199 0.000238 0.000288
2025-07-06 0.000081 0.000102 0.000126 0.000159 0.000202 0.000256 0.000330
2025-07-13 0.000072 0.000093 0.000121 0.000160 0.000212 0.000283 0.000386
2025-07-20 0.000065 0.000088 0.000118 0.000162 0.000225 0.000313 0.000448
2025-07-27 0.000059 0.000082 0.000113 0.000161 0.000231 0.000335 0.000502
2025-08-03 0.000055 0.000078 0.000111 0.000163 0.000243 0.000366 0.000571
2025-08-10 0.000050 0.000073 0.000107 0.000161 0.000248 0.000384 0.000624
2025-08-17 0.000046 0.000069 0.000103 0.000159 0.000252 0.000404 0.000681
2025-08-24 0.000042 0.000065 0.000099 0.000156 0.000254 0.000420 0.000731
2025-08-31 0.000039 0.000060 0.000094 0.000152 0.000253 0.000428 0.000770
2025-09-07 0.000037 0.000058 0.000092 0.000152 0.000260 0.000453 0.000842
2025-09-14 0.000035 0.000056 0.000091 0.000154 0.000271 0.000487 0.000941
2025-09-21 0.000032 0.000053 0.000087 0.000151 0.000272 0.000503 0.001006
2025-09-28 0.000029 0.000049 0.000082 0.000145 0.000267 0.000506 0.001044
2025-10-05 0.000028 0.000047 0.000080 0.000145 0.000275 0.000536 0.001145
2025-10-12 0.000026 0.000045 0.000079 0.000147 0.000286 0.000574 0.001271
2025-10-19 0.000025 0.000044 0.000077 0.000146 0.000290 0.000599 0.001370
2025-10-26 0.000024 0.000043 0.000077 0.000148 0.000302 0.000640 0.001517
2025-11-02 0.000023 0.000041 0.000075 0.000146 0.000304 0.000661 0.001615
2025-11-09 0.000021 0.000039 0.000073 0.000145 0.000307 0.000685 0.001726
2025-11-16 0.000020 0.000037 0.000070 0.000142 0.000308 0.000700 0.001818
2025-11-23 0.000019 0.000035 0.000067 0.000138 0.000304 0.000706 0.001880